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Liga de Expansión MX · Clausura - 6 · Mexico

Pumas Tabasco v Correcaminos Uat

2-1Full time· Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa, Villahermosa· Referee: S. Pérez Villalobos

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Pumas Tabasco v Correcaminos Uat: the model read

Pumas Tabasco meet Correcaminos Uat in the Liga de Expansión MX clausura - 6 at Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa, Villahermosa. The model makes Pumas Tabasco the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% PUM, 29% draw, 28% COR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pumas Tabasco, 47% against 30%. Attacking output favors Pumas Tabasco on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Pumas Tabasco at 60%; double chance reads Pumas Tabasco or draw 72%, Correcaminos Uat or draw 57%.

Pumas Tabasco arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Alebrijes de Oaxaca, L 1-4 @ Cancún, W 1-0 v Monarcas, W 2-0 @ Mineros de Zacatecas.

Correcaminos Uat are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Mineros de Zacatecas, D 0-0 v Guadalajara Chivas, L 3-6 v Necaxa, L 1-3 v Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

Correcaminos Uat hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Pumas Tabasco 2-1 Correcaminos Uat.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Pumas Tabasco

LWWLL5-8-6

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.42 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LAAlebrijes de Oaxaca0-1
  • LACancún1-4
  • WHMonarcas1-0
  • WAMineros de Zacatecas2-0
  • LHRaya21-3

Correcaminos Uat

LLLDD3-6-11

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 2.20 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • DAMineros de Zacatecas3-3
  • DHGuadalajara Chivas0-0
  • LHNecaxa3-6
  • LHAlebrijes de Oaxaca1-3
  • LAMineros de Zacatecas1-3

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Pumas TabascorecordCorrecaminos Uat
2
3
1 draw

Goals

6-6

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Pumas Tabasco

Recent
WLLWLD
Wins 2Goals 6-6

Biggest win 2-0

Correcaminos Uat

Recent
LWWLWD
Wins 3Goals 6-6

Biggest win 1-0

  • Pumas Tabasco2-1Correcaminos Uat
  • Correcaminos Uat1-0Pumas Tabasco
  • Pumas Tabasco1-2Correcaminos Uat
  • Correcaminos Uat0-2Pumas Tabasco
  • Pumas Tabasco1-2Correcaminos Uat
  • Correcaminos Uat0-0Pumas Tabasco

Managers

R. Alpízar

Mexico · 48

In charge since 2022

H. Eugui

Uruguay · 78

In charge since 2024 · 6 clubs managed

  • Potros UAEM2017–2018
  • Tecos2012–2012
  • Irapuato2011–2012
  • Toluca2011–2011

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.