South Korea v Costa Rica: the model read
South Korea meet Costa Rica in the Friendlies friendlies 1 at Goyang Stadium, Goyang. The model makes South Korea the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% SOU, 29% draw, 32% COS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors Costa Rica on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans South Korea at 54%; double chance reads South Korea or draw 68%, Costa Rica or draw 62%.
South Korea arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ South Africa, L 0-1 @ Mexico, W 2-1 v Czechia, W 1-0 v El Salvador.
Costa Rica are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ England, L 1-3 @ Colombia, L 0-5 v Iran, D 2-2 @ Jordan.
South Korea hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: South Korea 2-2 Costa Rica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
