Sedan v Villefranche: the model read
Sedan meet Villefranche in the National 1 regular season - 34 at Stade Louis-Dugauguez, Sedan. The model makes Villefranche the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% SED, 31% draw, 35% VIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1471, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 44%. Attacking output favors Villefranche on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Villefranche at 50%; double chance reads Sedan or draw 65%, Villefranche or draw 65%.
Sedan arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Villefranche, L 1-2 @ Stade Briochin, W 3-2 v Chateauroux, W 2-1 @ Cholet.
Villefranche are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Grenoble, D 2-2 @ Concarneau, L 0-1 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, L 0-3 @ Caen.
Villefranche hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Sedan 0-3 Villefranche.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
