Altos v Atlético Alagoinhas: the model read
Altos meet Atlético Alagoinhas in the Copa do Nordeste group stage - 1 at Estádio Municipal Felipe Raulino, Altos, Piauí. The model makes Altos the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% ALT, 34% draw, 26% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Altos, 38% against 18%. Attacking output favors Altos on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Altos at 60%; double chance reads Altos or draw 74%, Atlético Alagoinhas or draw 60%.
Altos arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ ABC, L 0-1 v ABC, W 3-2 v Uniclinic Atletico Clube, D 1-1 @ Fluminense PI.
Atlético Alagoinhas are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-7 v CSA, D 0-0 @ Juazeirense, D 0-0 @ CSE, L 0-1 v Jacuipense.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2022: Altos 1-1 Atlético Alagoinhas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
