Marino v El Ejido: the model read
Marino meet El Ejido in the Primera División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 2nd phase - 8 at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Tenerife. The model makes Marino the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% MAR, 31% draw, 30% EL .
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Marino, 38% against 23%. Attacking output favors El Ejido on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Marino at 57%; double chance reads Marino or draw 70%, El Ejido or draw 61%.
Marino arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 1 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 v Tenerife, L 1-2 v Arucas, L 0-3 @ Villa Santa Brígida, D 0-0 v Unión Sur Yaiza.
El Ejido are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v El Palo, L 0-1 @ Huétor Tájar, L 1-2 v Ciudad de Torredonjimeno, D 1-1 @ Atlético Porcuna.
El Ejido hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Marino 1-1 El Ejido.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
