Yeclano v Marino: the model read
Yeclano meet Marino in the Primera División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 2nd phase - 7 at Estadio Municipal La Constitución, Yecla. The model makes Yeclano the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% YEC, 34% draw, 29% MAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 38%. Attacking output favors Yeclano on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Yeclano at 56%; double chance reads Yeclano or draw 71%, Marino or draw 63%.
Yeclano arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Estepona, D 2-2 @ Lorca Deportiva, D 1-1 v Almería II, D 1-1 @ Antoniano.
Marino are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 1 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 v Tenerife, L 1-2 v Arucas, L 0-3 @ Villa Santa Brígida, D 0-0 v Unión Sur Yaiza.
Yeclano hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Yeclano 4-2 Marino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
