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Primera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 2nd Phase - 8 · Spain

Atlético Madrid II v Villarrobledo

2-1Full time· Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Atlético Madrid II v Villarrobledo: the model read

Atlético Madrid II meet Villarrobledo in the Primera División RFEF - Group 5 group 5 - 2nd phase - 8 at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda. The model makes Atlético Madrid II the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% ATL, 33% draw, 32% VIL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors Atlético Madrid II on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Atlético Madrid II at 52%; double chance reads Atlético Madrid II or draw 68%, Villarrobledo or draw 65%.

Atlético Madrid II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Ponferradina, D 0-0 @ Ponferradina, W 3-1 v Algeciras, L 1-2 @ Eldense.

Villarrobledo are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 2 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Villacañas, D 0-0 v Illescas, L 0-1 @ Manchego, W 2-1 @ Sonseca.

Atlético Madrid II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Atlético Madrid II 2-1 Villarrobledo.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Atlético Madrid II

WLWDL8-6-6

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • LHPonferradina0-1
  • DAPonferradina0-0
  • WHAlgeciras3-1
  • LAEldense1-2
  • WHSabadell4-3

Villarrobledo

DWLDD7-9-4

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 35%

  • DAVillacañas0-0
  • DHIllescas0-0
  • LAManchego0-1
  • WASonseca2-1
  • DHAlbacete II0-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Atlético Madrid IIrecordVillarrobledo
2
0
0 draws

Goals

4-1

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Atlético Madrid II

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 4-1

Biggest win 2-0

Villarrobledo

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-4
  • Atlético Madrid II2-1Villarrobledo
  • Villarrobledo0-2Atlético Madrid II

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.