Las Rozas v Melilla: the model read
Las Rozas meet Melilla in the Primera División RFEF - Group 5 group 5 - 2nd phase - 8 at Estadio Navalcarbón, Las Rozas de Madrid. The model makes Las Rozas the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% LAS, 31% draw, 31% MEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Las Rozas, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors Las Rozas on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Las Rozas at 55%; double chance reads Las Rozas or draw 69%, Melilla or draw 62%.
Las Rozas arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Trival Valderas, D 1-1 v Trival Valderas, W 3-0 @ Torrejón, W 1-0 v Torrejón.
Melilla are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Málaga II, L 2-4 v Linares Deportivo, L 0-1 @ Recreativo Huelva, L 0-1 v Águilas.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Las Rozas 2-2 Melilla.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output