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Primera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 2nd Phase - 7 · Spain

Melilla v Atlético Madrid II

3-0Full time· Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla· Referee: Pablo Morales

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Melilla v Atlético Madrid II: the model read

Melilla meet Atlético Madrid II in the Primera División RFEF - Group 5 group 5 - 2nd phase - 7 at Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla. The model makes Atlético Madrid II the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 30% MEL, 31% draw, 39% ATL.

Atlético Madrid II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1408. Recent form leans Atlético Madrid II, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Atlético Madrid II on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Atlético Madrid II at 57%; double chance reads Melilla or draw 61%, Atlético Madrid II or draw 70%.

Melilla arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Málaga II, L 2-4 v Linares Deportivo, L 0-1 @ Recreativo Huelva, L 0-1 v Águilas.

Atlético Madrid II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Ponferradina, D 0-0 @ Ponferradina, W 3-1 v Algeciras, L 1-2 @ Eldense.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Melilla

DLLLD4-7-9

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • DAMálaga II3-3
  • LHLinares Deportivo2-4
  • LARecreativo Huelva0-1
  • LHÁguilas0-1
  • DAEstepona1-1

Atlético Madrid II

WLWDL8-6-6

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • LHPonferradina0-1
  • DAPonferradina0-0
  • WHAlgeciras3-1
  • LAEldense1-2
  • WHSabadell4-3

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.