Team Wellington v Hamilton Wanderers: the model read
Team Wellington meet Hamilton Wanderers in the Premiership semi-finals at David Farrington Park, Wellington. The model makes Team Wellington the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% TEA, 25% draw, 25% HAM.
Team Wellington rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1675 to 1431. Recent form leans Team Wellington, 75% against 40%. Attacking output favors Team Wellington on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Team Wellington at 66%; double chance reads Team Wellington or draw 75%, Hamilton Wanderers or draw 50%.
Team Wellington arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 20 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Auckland City, W 4-1 v Hamilton Wanderers, W 3-2 v Hamilton Wanderers, W 2-0 @ Canterbury United.
Hamilton Wanderers are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Manukau United, W 3-2 v Northern Rovers, W 5-1 @ South Auckland Rangers, L 1-2 @ Western Springs.
Team Wellington hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Team Wellington 4-1 Hamilton Wanderers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output