Guadeloupe v Martinique: the model read
Guadeloupe meet Martinique in the CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification group stage - 4. The model makes Guadeloupe the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% GUA, 29% draw, 24% MAR.
Guadeloupe rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1431. Recent form leans Guadeloupe, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors Guadeloupe on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Guadeloupe at 66%; double chance reads Guadeloupe or draw 76%, Martinique or draw 53%.
Guadeloupe arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Guatemala, L 1-2 @ Jamaica, L 2-5 @ Panama, W 1-0 @ Nicaragua.
Martinique are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v El Salvador, D 2-2 v Cuba, L 0-2 v Jamaica, D 0-0 @ Dominican Republic.
Martinique hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Martinique 0-0 Guadeloupe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output