Turkmenistan v Philippines: the model read
Turkmenistan meet Philippines in the AFC Challenge Cup group stage - 3 at National Football Stadium, Malé, North Malé Atoll, Kaafu Atoll. The model makes Philippines the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 23% TUR, 27% draw, 50% PHI.
Philippines rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Philippines, 60% against 32%. Attacking output favors Philippines on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Philippines at 68%; double chance reads Turkmenistan or draw 50%, Philippines or draw 77%.
Turkmenistan arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Thailand, W 3-1 v Chinese Taipei, W 2-1 v Sri Lanka, L 0-1 @ Sri Lanka.
Philippines are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Myanmar, W 5-1 v Myanmar, W 5-1 v Guam, D 1-1 @ Tajikistan.
Philippines hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2014: Turkmenistan 0-2 Philippines.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
