Altos v Mirassol: the model read
Altos meet Mirassol in the Serie D semi-finals at Estádio Municipal Felipe Raulino, Altos, Piauí. The model makes Mirassol the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 28% ALT, 33% draw, 39% MIR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mirassol, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Mirassol on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Mirassol at 58%; double chance reads Altos or draw 61%, Mirassol or draw 72%.
Altos arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ ABC, L 0-1 v ABC, W 3-2 v Uniclinic Atletico Clube, D 1-1 @ Fluminense PI.
Mirassol are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Gremio, L 0-1 @ Atletico Paranaense, L 0-1 @ Lanus, W 1-0 v Fluminense.
Mirassol hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Mirassol 2-1 Altos.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
