Altos v Marcílio Dias: the model read
Altos meet Marcílio Dias in the Serie D quarter-finals at Estádio Municipal Felipe Raulino, Altos, Piauí. The model makes Marcílio Dias the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 24% ALT, 32% draw, 43% MAR.
Marcílio Dias rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1408. Recent form leans Marcílio Dias, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Marcílio Dias on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Marcílio Dias at 64%; double chance reads Altos or draw 57%, Marcílio Dias or draw 76%.
Altos arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ ABC, L 0-1 v ABC, W 3-2 v Uniclinic Atletico Clube, D 1-1 @ Fluminense PI.
Marcílio Dias are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Portuguesa, D 1-1 v Portuguesa, W 2-1 v Cascavel, D 2-2 @ Cascavel.
Altos hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Altos 5-1 Marcílio Dias.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
