Altos v Salgueiro: the model read
Altos meet Salgueiro in the Serie D 8th finals at Estádio Municipal Felipe Raulino, Altos, Piauí. The model makes Salgueiro the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 29% ALT, 33% draw, 37% SAL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Salgueiro on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Salgueiro at 56%; double chance reads Altos or draw 63%, Salgueiro or draw 71%.
Altos arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ ABC, L 0-1 v ABC, W 3-2 v Uniclinic Atletico Clube, D 1-1 @ Fluminense PI.
Salgueiro are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Retrô, D 1-1 @ Nautico Recife, W 3-2 v Afogados, L 0-1 @ Retrô.
Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2020: Altos 1-1 Salgueiro.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
