Águeda v Anadia: the model read
Águeda meet Anadia in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D group d - 18 at Estádio Municipal de Águeda, Águeda. The model makes Anadia the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 29% ÁGU, 34% draw, 37% ANA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Anadia, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Anadia on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Anadia at 56%; double chance reads Águeda or draw 63%, Anadia or draw 71%.
Águeda arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 0 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Pevidem, L 0-1 @ Sanjoanense, L 0-1 v São João Ver, L 0-2 v Castro Daire.
Anadia are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Vila Meã, W 2-1 v Gouveia, D 0-0 @ União Lamas, L 0-3 v Alpendorada.
Anadia hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Águeda 1-3 Anadia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
