Rosenborg v Molde: the model read
Rosenborg meet Molde in the Super Cup final at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo. The model makes Molde the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 31% ROS, 28% draw, 41% MOL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1480 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Molde on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Molde at 57%; double chance reads Rosenborg or draw 59%, Molde or draw 69%.
Rosenborg arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Fredrikstad, L 0-5 v Manchester United, W 3-0 @ Start, W 3-0 v Kristiansund BK.
Molde are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ KFUM Oslo, L 1-2 v Brann, D 2-2 @ Aalesund, L 1-2 @ Rosenborg.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rosenborg 2-1 Molde.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
