CAI v Deportivo Roca: the model read
CAI meet Deportivo Roca in the Torneo Federal A regular season - 15 at Estadio Municipal de Comodoro Rivadavia, Comodoro Rivadavia, Provincia del Chubut. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% CAI, 35% draw, 31% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors CAI on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans CAI at 52%; double chance reads CAI or draw 69%, Deportivo Roca or draw 66%.
CAI arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Gutiérrez, L 0-1 @ 9 de Julio Morteros, D 0-0 v Sportivo Las Parejas, D 2-2 @ Deportivo Maipu.
Deportivo Roca are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Atletico Mitre, L 1-4 @ Independiente Neuquén, D 1-1 v Ferro Carril Oeste LP, L 0-4 @ Deportivo Madryn.
CAI hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2015: CAI 1-0 Deportivo Roca.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
