CAI v Ferro Carril Oeste LP: the model read
CAI meet Ferro Carril Oeste LP in the Torneo Federal A 2nd phase reválida 1 - 7 at Estadio Municipal de Comodoro Rivadavia, Comodoro Rivadavia, Provincia del Chubut. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% CAI, 37% draw, 30% FER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 43%. Attacking output favors CAI on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 19%, over 2.5 goals around 11%. Draw no bet leans CAI at 52%; double chance reads CAI or draw 70%, Ferro Carril Oeste LP or draw 67%.
CAI arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Gutiérrez, L 0-1 @ 9 de Julio Morteros, D 0-0 v Sportivo Las Parejas, D 2-2 @ Deportivo Maipu.
Ferro Carril Oeste LP are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Estudiantes S.l., W 3-0 v Circulo Deportivo, D 0-0 @ Cipolletti, W 3-0 v Sol de Mayo.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2015: CAI 4-0 Ferro Carril Oeste LP.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
