CAI v Tiro Federal: the model read
CAI meet Tiro Federal in the Torneo Federal A 2nd phase reválida 1 - 3 at Estadio Municipal de Comodoro Rivadavia, Comodoro Rivadavia, Provincia del Chubut. The model makes CAI the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% CAI, 35% draw, 28% TIR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CAI, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors CAI on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans CAI at 57%; double chance reads CAI or draw 72%, Tiro Federal or draw 63%.
CAI arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Gutiérrez, L 0-1 @ 9 de Julio Morteros, D 0-0 v Sportivo Las Parejas, D 2-2 @ Deportivo Maipu.
Tiro Federal are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Ben Hur, L 0-1 @ Ben Hur, D 0-0 v Ferro Carril Oeste LP, W 2-1 @ Alianza Cutral Có.
CAI hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2015: CAI 2-0 Tiro Federal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output