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Coupe de France · Final · France

Paris Saint Germain v Saint Etienne

1-0Full time· Stade de France, Paris· Referee: Amaury Delerue, France

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Paris Saint Germain v Saint Etienne: the model read

Paris Saint Germain meet Saint Etienne in the Coupe de France final at Stade de France, Paris.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 60%. Attacking output favors Saint Etienne on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.

Paris Saint Germain arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Monaco, D 2-2 @ Lille, D 2-2 @ Rennes, L 0-1 @ Lens.

Saint Etienne are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Montpellier, W 3-2 @ Dijon, W 4-0 v Grenoble, W 3-1 v Clermont Foot.

Paris Saint Germain hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Saint Etienne 1-6 Paris Saint Germain.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Paris Saint Germain

WLDDL9-6-5

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • LHMonaco1-2
  • DALille2-2
  • DARennes2-2
  • LALens0-1
  • WHAston Villa2-1

Saint Etienne

WWWWW10-4-6

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WHMontpellier3-1
  • WADijon3-2
  • WHGrenoble4-0
  • WHClermont Foot3-1
  • WASochaux3-0

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Paris Saint GermainrecordSaint Etienne
8
0
1 draw

Goals

29-8

for each

Avg goals

4.1

per game

BTTS

78%

both scored

Over 2.5

78%

3+ goals

Paris Saint Germain

Recent
WWWWWD
Wins 8Goals 29-8

Biggest win 6-1

Saint Etienne

Recent
LLLLLD
Wins 0Goals 8-29
  • Saint Etienne1-6Paris Saint Germain
  • Paris Saint Germain2-1Saint Etienne
  • Paris Saint Germain3-1Saint Etienne
  • Saint Etienne1-3Paris Saint Germain
  • Paris Saint Germain3-2Saint Etienne
  • Saint Etienne1-1Paris Saint Germain
  • Paris Saint Germain1-0Saint Etienne
  • Paris Saint Germain6-1Saint Etienne
  • Saint Etienne0-4Paris Saint Germain

Managers

Luis Enrique

Spain · 55

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Spain2019–2022
  • Spain2018–2019
  • Barcelona2014–2017
  • Celta Vigo2013–2014

Philippe Montanier

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.