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Copa MX · Semi-finals · Mexico

FC Juarez v Monterrey

2-0Full time· Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez· Referee: M. Ortíz

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FC Juarez v Monterrey: the model read

FC Juarez meet Monterrey in the Copa MX semi-finals at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez.

The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Monterrey, 55% against 37%. Attacking output favors Monterrey on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.

FC Juarez arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Tigres UANL, L 1-2 @ Santos Laguna, L 0-2 v CF Pachuca, L 0-4 @ Toluca.

Monterrey are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Cruz Azul, D 0-0 v Tigres UANL, L 0-2 @ Toluca, D 2-2 @ Club America.

Monterrey hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Monterrey 6-1 FC Juarez.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Juarez

LLLLW6-2-11

Scored 1.26 · Conceded 2.11 · Clean sheets 10.5% · BTTS 63.2%

  • WHTigres UANL2-0
  • LASantos Laguna1-2
  • LHCF Pachuca0-2
  • LAToluca0-4
  • LHClub America1-2

Monterrey

LDLDW9-4-7

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WHCruz Azul1-0
  • DHTigres UANL0-0
  • LAToluca0-2
  • DAClub America2-2
  • LHAtletico San Luis1-3

Head-to-head

9 meetings

FC JuarezrecordMonterrey
1
7
1 draw

Goals

10-26

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

89%

3+ goals

FC Juarez

Recent
LDLWLL
Wins 1Goals 10-26

Biggest win 2-1

Monterrey

Recent
WDWLWW
Wins 7Goals 26-10

Biggest win 6-1

  • Monterrey6-1FC Juarez
  • FC Juarez2-2Monterrey
  • Monterrey4-2FC Juarez
  • FC Juarez2-1Monterrey
  • Monterrey3-2FC Juarez
  • FC Juarez0-3Monterrey
  • Monterrey3-1FC Juarez
  • Monterrey3-0FC Juarez
  • FC Juarez0-1Monterrey

Managers

Salvador Valero

Head coach

In charge since 2026

M. Almeyda

Argentina · 52

In charge since 2026 · 7 teams managed

  • Sevilla2025–2026
  • AEK Athens2022–2025
  • SJ Earthquakes2019–2022
  • Guadalajara2015–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.