Marssac SRDT v PAU: the model read
Marssac SRDT meet PAU in the Coupe de France 8th round at Stade Maurice Rigaud, Albi. The model makes PAU the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 29% MAR, 28% draw, 43% PAU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1483, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans PAU, 44% against 25%. Attacking output favors PAU on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans PAU at 59%; double chance reads Marssac SRDT or draw 57%, PAU or draw 71%.
Marssac SRDT arrive patchy: 1W-0D-3L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ St Clément Montferrier, L 1-4 v PAU, W 2-1 v Saint-Médard-en-Jalles, L 0-3 v Clermont Foot.
PAU are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Real Sociedad II, L 0-4 @ Espanyol, W 3-0 v Tarbes, W 1-0 @ Real Sociedad.
PAU hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Marssac SRDT 1-4 PAU.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
