Olympique de Valence v Thonon Évian: the model read
Olympique de Valence meet Thonon Évian in the Coupe de France 7th round at Stade Georges Pompidou, Villemomble. The model makes Thonon Évian the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 30% OLY, 30% draw, 40% THO.
Thonon Évian rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Thonon Évian, 57% against 35%. Attacking output favors Thonon Évian on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Thonon Évian at 57%; double chance reads Olympique de Valence or draw 60%, Thonon Évian or draw 70%.
Olympique de Valence arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Bourgoin-Jallieu, W 1-0 v Arles, D 3-3 v Limonest, L 1-3 @ Espaly-Saint-Marcel.
Thonon Évian are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Jura Dolois, W 1-0 @ Racing Besançon, W 2-0 v Sochaux II, D 2-2 @ Troyes II.
Olympique de Valence hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Olympique de Valence 3-1 Thonon Évian.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
