AFC Fylde v Harrogate Town: the model read
AFC Fylde meet Harrogate Town in the National League - Play-offs promotion play-offs - qualifying round at Mill Farm Stadium, Wesham. The model makes AFC Fylde the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% AFC, 29% draw, 30% HAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors AFC Fylde on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans AFC Fylde at 58%; double chance reads AFC Fylde or draw 70%, Harrogate Town or draw 58%.
AFC Fylde arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Wigan, W 3-0 @ Longridge Town, L 1-2 v Huddersfield, W 3-1 @ Hyde United.
Harrogate Town are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Doncaster, W 2-1 @ South Shields, W 1-0 @ Cleethorpes Town, W 2-1 @ Guiseley AFC.
AFC Fylde hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2020: AFC Fylde 2-3 Harrogate Town.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output