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Toulouse v PAU

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Toulouse v PAU: the model read

Toulouse meet PAU in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.

The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1460, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 41%. Attacking output favors Toulouse on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Toulouse arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Le Havre, D 2-2 @ Lorient, L 0-1 v Lille, D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29.

PAU are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Dunkerque, L 0-1 @ Montpellier, D 1-1 v Sochaux, D 2-2 @ Rodez.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Toulouse

LDLDW6-5-8

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 1.84 · Clean sheets 10.5% · BTTS 68.4%

  • WHLe Havre3-2
  • DALorient2-2
  • LHLille0-1
  • DAStade Brestois 292-2
  • LHLyon0-2

PAU

LDDLW6-2-9

Scored 1.12 · Conceded 1.76 · Clean sheets 29.4% · BTTS 41.2%

  • WHDunkerque2-0
  • LAMontpellier0-1
  • DHSochaux1-1
  • DARodez2-2
  • LHNancy0-1

Managers

Jens Askou

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Motherwell2025–2026

Thierry Debes

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.