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J-League Cup · Round of 32 · Japan

Matsumoto Yamaga v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

· Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Matsumoto Yamaga v Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the model read

Matsumoto Yamaga meet Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J-League Cup round of 32 at Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1734 to 1477. Recent form leans Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 82% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.3 per match.

Matsumoto Yamaga arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Albirex Niigata, W 2-1 @ Tochigi SC, D 0-0 @ Roasso Kumamoto, L 1-3 v Sagamihara.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Tochigi City, W 1-0 @ Avispa Fukuoka, W 6-1 v Cerezo Osaka, L 2-3 @ Fagiano Okayama.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Matsumoto Yamaga

DLDWW5-10-5

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WHAlbirex Niigata1-0
  • WATochigi SC2-1
  • DARoasso Kumamoto0-0
  • LHSagamihara1-3
  • DHShonan Bellmare3-3

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WLWWW14-3-2

Scored 2.47 · Conceded 0.89 · Clean sheets 47.4% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WATochigi City2-0
  • WAAvispa Fukuoka1-0
  • WHCerezo Osaka6-1
  • LAFagiano Okayama2-3
  • WHNagoya Grampus3-0

Head-to-head

5 meetings

Matsumoto YamagarecordSanfrecce Hiroshima
0
4
1 draw

Goals

5-15

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Matsumoto Yamaga

Recent
DLLLL
Wins 0Goals 5-15

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent
DWWWW
Wins 4Goals 15-5

Biggest win 6-0

  • Matsumoto Yamaga2-2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima1-0Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima6-0Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Matsumoto Yamaga2-4Sanfrecce Hiroshima
  • Matsumoto Yamaga1-2Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Managers

Nobuhiro Ishizaki

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Bartosch Gaul

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.