Where the market is wrong on FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius meet Panevėžys in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1509, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors FK Zalgiris Vilnius on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Panevėžys, L 0-3 @ TransINVEST Vilnius, W 3-2 v Kauno Žalgiris, D 0-0 @ Suduva Marijampole.
Panevėžys are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ FK Zalgiris Vilnius, W 2-0 v BFA, L 0-1 v Kauno Žalgiris, W 3-1 @ Hegelmann Litauen.
Panevėžys hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-2 Panevėžys.
The market prices FK at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Panevėžys: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
