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FA Trophy · 1/128-finals · England

Aveley v Carshalton Athletic

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Aveley v Carshalton Athletic: the model read

Aveley meet Carshalton Athletic in the FA Trophy 1/128-finals.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Aveley on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.

Aveley arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Dulwich Hamlet, W 3-1 v Ware, L 2-3 v Brentwood Town, L 3-4 v Wingate & Finchley.

Carshalton Athletic are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Ramsgate, D 2-2 @ Southall, W 3-2 @ Maldon & Tiptree, L 0-3 @ Lewes.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Aveley

LLLWL9-1-10

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 2.25 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 75%

  • LADulwich Hamlet0-2
  • WHWare3-1
  • LHBrentwood Town2-3
  • LHWingate & Finchley3-4
  • LHLeatherhead1-2

Carshalton Athletic

LLWDW9-4-7

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WARamsgate3-2
  • DASouthall2-2
  • WAMaldon & Tiptree3-2
  • LALewes0-3
  • LHDartford0-3

Managers

D. Scopes

England · 52

In charge since 2023 · 2 teams managed

  • Concord Rangers2019–2021

P. Adeniyi

Nigeria · 45

In charge since 2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.