Where the market is wrong on Rapid v Genoa
Rapid meet Genoa in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rapid, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Rapid on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Rapid arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Arges Pitesti, W 2-1 v FC Voluntari, W 1-0 @ Oţelul, W 2-0 @ FC Politehnica Timisoara.
Genoa are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Parma, W 1-0 v Sudtirol, D 1-1 v Frosinone, L 1-4 v Como.
The market prices RAP at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Rapid: a 14.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
