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Sudtirol v Wacker Innsbruck

2-3Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Sudtirol v Wacker Innsbruck

Sudtirol meet Wacker Innsbruck in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.

Wacker Innsbruck rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1431. Recent form leans Wacker Innsbruck, 80% against 43%. Attacking output favors Wacker Innsbruck on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.1 per match.

Sudtirol arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Wacker Innsbruck, W 4-1 @ Arezzo, L 0-1 @ Genoa, D 1-1 v Modena.

Wacker Innsbruck are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Sudtirol, D 2-2 @ Sturm Graz II, D 1-1 v Voitsberg, W 3-2 @ FC BW Linz.

Wacker Innsbruck hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sudtirol 2-3 Wacker Innsbruck.

The market prices SUD at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Wacker Innsbruck: a 29.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sudtirol

WDLWL4-9-7

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHWacker Innsbruck2-3
  • WAArezzo4-1
  • LAGenoa0-1
  • DHModena1-1
  • WHCatanzaro2-0

Wacker Innsbruck

LWDDW15-2-3

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WASudtirol3-2
  • DASturm Graz II2-2
  • DHVoitsberg1-1
  • WAFC BW Linz3-2
  • LAFloridsdorfer AC0-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

SudtirolrecordWacker Innsbruck
0
2
0 draws

Goals

3-5

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Sudtirol

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 3-5

Wacker Innsbruck

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 5-3

Biggest win 3-2

  • Sudtirol2-3Wacker Innsbruck
  • Wacker Innsbruck2-1Sudtirol

Managers

F. Castori

Italy · 71

In charge since 2024 · 9 teams managed

  • Ascoli2023–2024
  • Perugia2022–2023
  • Perugia2022–2022
  • Salernitana2020–2021

M. Oenning

Germany · 60

In charge since 2022 · 8 teams managed

  • Újpest2021–2021
  • Aris2019–2020
  • Magdeburg2018–2019
  • Vasas2016–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.