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Premier League · Regular Season - 3 · Jamaica

Tivoli Gardens v Chapelton

1-1Full time· Edward Seaga Sports Complex, Kingston

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Tivoli Gardens v Chapelton: the model read

Tivoli Gardens meet Chapelton in the Premier League regular season - 3 at Edward Seaga Sports Complex, Kingston.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 43%. Attacking output favors Chapelton on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.

Tivoli Gardens arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Chapelton, D 1-1 @ Treasure Beach, W 3-0 v Humble Lions, L 0-3 @ Portmore United.

Chapelton are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tivoli Gardens, W 2-1 v Molynes United, L 0-2 @ Montego Bay United, L 2-7 v Arnett Gardens.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tivoli Gardens

LLWDD5-6-9

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • DHChapelton1-1
  • DATreasure Beach1-1
  • WHHumble Lions3-0
  • LAPortmore United0-3
  • LHCavalier0-2

Chapelton

LLLWD7-3-10

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 45%

  • DATivoli Gardens1-1
  • WHMolynes United2-1
  • LAMontego Bay United0-2
  • LHArnett Gardens2-7
  • LAWaterhouse0-3

Managers

J. Waite

Jamaica · 51

In charge since 2023 · 3 teams managed

  • Jamaica U202022–2024
  • Arnett Gardens2011–2019

O. Thompson

Jamaica · 42

In charge since 2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.