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Segunda División · 2nd Phase - 21 · Uruguay

La Luz v CA River Plate

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Match analysisPre-match brief

La Luz v CA River Plate: the model read

La Luz meet CA River Plate in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 21.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors CA River Plate on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.

La Luz arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cerrito, L 0-1 v Atenas, W 1-0 @ Paysandu, L 1-3 v Sportivo Huracan.

CA River Plate are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Colón, D 1-1 @ Cerrito, D 0-0 @ Albion FC, L 0-1 v Fenix.

CA River Plate hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CA River Plate 0-0 La Luz.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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La Luz

DLWLW6-6-8

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 30%

  • WACerrito2-1
  • LHAtenas0-1
  • WAPaysandu1-0
  • LHSportivo Huracan1-3
  • DAUruguay Montevideo0-0

CA River Plate

LLDDW7-6-7

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 45%

  • WHColón3-0
  • DACerrito1-1
  • DAAlbion FC0-0
  • LHFenix0-1
  • LAAtenas2-3

Head-to-head

4 meetings

La LuzrecordCA River Plate
0
1
3 draws

Goals

2-3

for each

Avg goals

1.3

per game

BTTS

25%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

La Luz

Recent
DLDD
Wins 0Goals 2-3

CA River Plate

Recent
DWDD
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 1-0

  • CA River Plate0-0La Luz
  • CA River Plate1-0La Luz
  • CA River Plate0-0La Luz
  • La Luz2-2CA River Plate

Managers

Carlos Aires

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Raul Salazar

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.