Where the market is wrong on Libya U20 v Algeria U20
Libya U20 meet Algeria U20 in the Africa Cup of Nations U20 qualification - 2 at Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia.
Algeria U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1589 to 1400. Recent form leans Algeria U20, 63% against 25%. Attacking output favors Algeria U20 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Libya U20 arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Algeria U20, L 0-2 v Egypt U20, L 1-3 v Algeria U20, W 2-0 @ Lebanon U20.
Algeria U20 are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Libya U20, D 1-1 v Tunisia U20, D 1-1 @ Tunisia U20, L 0-1 @ Tunisia U20.
The market prices LIB at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on Libya U20: a 7.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output