Where the market is wrong on Calcutta Customs v Minerva Punjab
Calcutta Customs meet Minerva Punjab in the IFA Shield group stage.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Calcutta Customs on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.7 per match.
Calcutta Customs arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 v Minerva Punjab, L 1-3 v East Bengal II, W 6-0 @ George Telegraph, L 0-2 v East Bengal.
Minerva Punjab are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Calcutta Customs, L 0-2 v Horley Town, L 0-2 v Mumbai City, W 3-2 @ Odisha.
The market prices CAL at 12% implied. Our number sits apart on Calcutta Customs: a 20.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
