Where the market is wrong on Pogon Szczecin v Udinese
Pogon Szczecin meet Udinese in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Pogon Szczecin on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Pogon Szczecin arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Udinese, W 2-1 @ Piast Gliwice, W 2-0 v Wieczysta Kraków, D 1-1 v Wisla Plock.
Udinese are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Pogon Szczecin, L 0-1 v Cagliari, L 3-5 @ Inter, L 1-2 v Lazio.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Udinese.
The market prices POG at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Pogon Szczecin: a 11.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
