Where the market is wrong on Hungary U19 v Bulgaria U19
Hungary U19 meet Bulgaria U19 in the Friendlies friendly international.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors Hungary U19 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Hungary U19 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 15 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Serbia U19, D 1-1 v Bulgaria U19, W 2-1 @ Romania U19, W 4-0 @ Wales U19.
Bulgaria U19 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Romania U19, D 1-1 @ Hungary U19, W 3-0 v Albania U19, W 1-0 v Albania U19.
Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Hungary U19 1-1 Bulgaria U19.
The market prices HUN at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Bulgaria U19: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
