Where the market is wrong on Khovd Western v Deren
Khovd Western meet Deren in the Premier League regular season - 5.
Deren rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1480. Recent form leans Deren, 75% against 45%. Attacking output favors Deren on expected goals, 3.5 to 1.9 per match.
Khovd Western arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Deren, L 2-3 v Erchim, W 4-1 v Ulaangom City, L 0-4 @ Khovd.
Deren are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 17 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ Khovd Western, W 5-2 v Amtat FC, W 5-0 @ Ulaangom City, D 0-0 v Ulaanbaatar.
The market prices KHO at 4% implied. Our number sits apart on Khovd Western: a 18.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output