Where the market is wrong on Uruguay Montevideo v Rentistas
Uruguay Montevideo meet Rentistas in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 20.
Rentistas rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Rentistas, 55% against 33%. Attacking output favors Rentistas on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Uruguay Montevideo arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Rentistas, L 0-1 @ Miramar, D 2-2 v Tacuarembo, L 0-1 @ Plaza Colonia.
Rentistas are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Uruguay Montevideo, L 0-2 v Oriental, W 2-1 v Plaza Colonia, W 1-0 @ Colón.
Uruguay Montevideo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Uruguay Montevideo 1-3 Rentistas.
The market prices URU at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
