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Coppa Italia · Round of 16 · Italy

Inter v Genoa

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Inter v Genoa: the model read

Inter meet Genoa in the Coppa Italia round of 16.

Inter rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1443. Recent form leans Inter, 80% against 40%. Attacking output favors Inter on expected goals, 2.3 to 0.9 per match.

Inter arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ AS Roma, W 5-3 v Udinese, L 1-2 @ Real Madrid, W 3-2 v Napoli.

Genoa are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Parma, W 1-0 v Sudtirol, D 1-1 v Frosinone, L 1-4 v Como.

Inter hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inter 2-0 Genoa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Inter

WWLWD13-6-1

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 70%

  • DAAS Roma2-2
  • WHUdinese5-3
  • LAReal Madrid1-2
  • WHNapoli3-2
  • WACagliari1-0

Genoa

LLDWL6-4-10

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • LAParma1-2
  • WHSudtirol1-0
  • DHFrosinone1-1
  • LHComo1-4
  • LALazio0-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

InterrecordGenoa
7
0
3 draws

Goals

19-5

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Inter

Recent
WWWDWD
Wins 7Goals 19-5

Biggest win 4-0

Genoa

Recent
LLLDLD
Wins 0Goals 5-19
  • Inter2-0Genoa
  • Genoa1-2Inter
  • Inter1-0Genoa
  • Genoa2-2Inter
  • Inter2-1Genoa
  • Genoa1-1Inter
  • Genoa0-0Inter
  • Inter4-0Genoa
  • Inter3-0Genoa
  • Genoa0-2Inter

Managers

C. Chivu

Romania · 45

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Internazionale U192021–2024

D. De Rossi

Italy · 42

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Roma2024–2024
  • SPAL2022–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.