Where the market is wrong on Bedworth United v Redditch United
Bedworth United meet Redditch United in the FA Trophy final.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 60%. Attacking output favors Redditch United on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Bedworth United arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Redditch United, W 3-1 @ Boldmere St. Michaels, L 1-2 @ Coventry United, D 0-0 @ Basford United.
Redditch United are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Peterborough Sports, W 1-0 @ Bedworth United, W 2-1 v Racing Club Warwick, W 3-0 v Evesham United.
Redditch United hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bedworth United 0-1 Redditch United.
The market prices BED at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Bedworth United: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
