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FA Trophy · Final · England

Ashford United v Deal Town

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ashford United v Deal Town: the model read

Ashford United meet Deal Town in the FA Trophy final.

The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1611, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 64%. Attacking output favors Deal Town on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.2 per match.

Ashford United arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Deal Town, W 3-1 @ Ascot United, W 4-2 @ Crowborough Athletic, L 0-4 @ Dartford.

Deal Town are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Ashford United, W 3-0 v Sheppey United, W 4-2 @ Binfield, L 1-2 @ Dover.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ashford United

LLWWD11-4-4

Scored 2.16 · Conceded 1.32 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 57.9%

  • DHDeal Town0-0
  • WAAscot United3-1
  • WACrowborough Athletic4-2
  • LADartford0-4
  • LAMaidstone Utd0-4

Deal Town

WLWWD10-3-5

Scored 2.17 · Conceded 1.28 · Clean sheets 22.2% · BTTS 66.7%

  • DAAshford United0-0
  • WHSheppey United3-0
  • WABinfield4-2
  • LADover1-2
  • WABeckenham Town2-1

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.