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Asian Games Women · Group Stage - 3 · World

Japan W v Chinese Taipei W

4-0Full time· Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Japan W v Chinese Taipei W

Japan W meet Chinese Taipei W in the Asian Games Women group stage - 3 at Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka.

Japan W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1589. Recent form leans Japan W, 80% against 58%. Attacking output favors Japan W on expected goals, 3.4 to 1.6 per match.

Japan W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 24 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Philippines W, W 4-0 v Chinese Taipei W, W 8-0 @ Vietnam W, W 8-0 v Thailand W.

Chinese Taipei W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Korea DPR W, L 0-4 @ Japan W, W 1-0 @ Thailand W, W 2-1 v Vietnam W.

The market prices JAP at 94% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 17.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Japan W

LWWWW16-0-4

Scored 3.35 · Conceded 0.40 · Clean sheets 75% · BTTS 15%

  • WHPhilippines W4-0
  • WHChinese Taipei W4-0
  • WAVietnam W8-0
  • WHThailand W8-0
  • LHSouth Africa W0-1

Chinese Taipei W

LWWLL11-0-8

Scored 1.63 · Conceded 1.58 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 26.3%

  • LAKorea DPR W1-5
  • LAJapan W0-4
  • WAThailand W1-0
  • WHVietnam W2-1
  • LHKorea DPR W0-4

Managers

Michihisa Kano

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Prasobchoke Chokemor

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.