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Asian Games Women · Group Stage - 1 · World

China W v Hong Kong W

5-1Full time· Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu

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Match analysisPre-match brief

China W v Hong Kong W: the model read

China W meet Hong Kong W in the Asian Games Women group stage - 1 at Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu.

The baseline ratings are close, 1613 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 69%. Attacking output favors China W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.

China W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Hong Kong W, W 3-0 v Vietnam W, L 0-1 v Russia W, L 1-2 v Russia W.

Hong Kong W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ China W, W 3-1 v Fiji W, W 3-2 v Fiji W, L 0-4 @ Ghana W.

China W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: China W 5-1 Hong Kong W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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China W

LLLWW11-2-6

Scored 2.37 · Conceded 1.42 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 47.4%

  • WHHong Kong W5-1
  • WHVietnam W3-0
  • LHRussia W0-1
  • LHRussia W1-2
  • LHAustralia W1-2

Hong Kong W

WLWWL10-2-4

Scored 1.81 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 62.5%

  • LAChina W1-5
  • WHFiji W3-1
  • WHFiji W3-2
  • LAGhana W0-4
  • WALiechtenstein W4-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

China WrecordHong Kong W
1
0
0 draws

Goals

5-1

for each

Avg goals

6.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

China W

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 5-1

Biggest win 5-1

Hong Kong W

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-5
  • China W5-1Hong Kong W

Managers

Ante Milicic

Head coach

In charge since 2026

José Ricardo

Brazil · 54

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • South China2016–2016
  • BC Rangers2015–2016
  • South China2015–2015
  • Pegasus2014–2015

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.