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J-League Cup · Round of 64 · Japan

Matsumoto Yamaga v Albirex Niigata

· Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Matsumoto Yamaga v Albirex Niigata: the model read

Matsumoto Yamaga meet Albirex Niigata in the J-League Cup round of 64 at Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto.

Albirex Niigata rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1443. Recent form leans Albirex Niigata, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Matsumoto Yamaga on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.

Matsumoto Yamaga arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Tochigi SC, D 0-0 @ Roasso Kumamoto, L 1-3 v Sagamihara, D 3-3 v Shonan Bellmare.

Albirex Niigata are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Blaublitz Akita, W 2-1 v Jubilo Iwata, W 1-0 v Montedio Yamagata, L 0-5 @ Yokohama FC.

Albirex Niigata hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Matsumoto Yamaga 0-2 Albirex Niigata.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Matsumoto Yamaga

DDLDW4-10-6

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WATochigi SC2-1
  • DARoasso Kumamoto0-0
  • LHSagamihara1-3
  • DHShonan Bellmare3-3
  • DHOsaka0-0

Albirex Niigata

WLWWD11-3-6

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • DABlaublitz Akita2-2
  • WHJubilo Iwata2-1
  • WHMontedio Yamagata1-0
  • LAYokohama FC0-5
  • WAThespakusatsu Gunma2-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Matsumoto YamagarecordAlbirex Niigata
2
5
3 draws

Goals

8-13

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Matsumoto Yamaga

Recent
LDDWLW
Wins 2Goals 8-13

Biggest win 3-1

Albirex Niigata

Recent
WDDLWL
Wins 5Goals 13-8

Biggest win 3-0

  • Matsumoto Yamaga0-2Albirex Niigata
  • Matsumoto Yamaga1-1Albirex Niigata
  • Albirex Niigata0-0Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Matsumoto Yamaga3-1Albirex Niigata
  • Albirex Niigata1-0Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Matsumoto Yamaga2-0Albirex Niigata
  • Albirex Niigata1-1Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Albirex Niigata2-0Matsumoto Yamaga
  • Matsumoto Yamaga0-3Albirex Niigata
  • Matsumoto Yamaga1-2Albirex Niigata

Managers

Nobuhiro Ishizaki

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Yuzo Funakoshi

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.