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FA Cup · Quarter-finals · England

Chesham United v Ware

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Chesham United v Ware: the model read

Chesham United meet Ware in the FA Cup quarter-finals.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ware, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Chesham United on expected goals, 2.0 to 2.0 per match.

Chesham United arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Billericay Town, L 1-3 @ Truro City, D 2-2 v Dover, W 4-0 @ AFC Totton.

Ware are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Fakenham Town, D 3-3 v Fakenham Town, D 1-1 v Brightlingsea Regent, L 2-4 v Hendon.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Chesham United

WWDLL8-2-10

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LHBillericay Town1-2
  • LATruro City1-3
  • DHDover2-2
  • WAAFC Totton4-0
  • WHWalton & Hersham2-0

Ware

LLDDW9-4-7

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WAFakenham Town3-1
  • DHFakenham Town3-3
  • DHBrightlingsea Regent1-1
  • LHHendon2-4
  • LHBerkhamsted1-3

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.