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Primera División · Clausura - 10 · Venezuela

Carabobo FC v Deportivo La Guaira

1-0Full time· Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Carabobo FC v Deportivo La Guaira

Carabobo FC meet Deportivo La Guaira in the Primera División clausura - 10 at Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Carabobo FC, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Deportivo La Guaira on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Carabobo FC arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo La Guaira, W 2-0 @ Puerto Cabello, W 1-0 v Estudiantes de Merida FC, L 3-4 @ Rayo Zuliano.

Deportivo La Guaira are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Carabobo FC, L 0-2 v UCV, W 2-0 v Anzoátegui FC, D 1-1 @ Puerto Cabello.

The market prices CAR at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo La Guaira: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Carabobo FC

DLWWW10-4-6

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 35%

  • WHDeportivo La Guaira1-0
  • WAPuerto Cabello2-0
  • WHEstudiantes de Merida FC1-0
  • LARayo Zuliano3-4
  • DHZamora FC0-0

Deportivo La Guaira

LDWLL6-6-8

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • LACarabobo FC0-1
  • LHUCV0-2
  • WHAnzoátegui FC2-0
  • DAPuerto Cabello1-1
  • LHEstudiantes de Merida FC1-2

Managers

Daniel Farias

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.