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Brasileiro Women · Semi-finals · Brazil

Bahia W v Corinthians W

0-1Full time· Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Bahia W v Corinthians W

Bahia W meet Corinthians W in the Brasileiro Women semi-finals at Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana.

Corinthians W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1722 to 1546. Recent form leans Corinthians W, 79% against 57%. Attacking output favors Corinthians W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.

Bahia W arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Corinthians W, D 1-1 @ Palmeiras W, D 1-1 v Palmeiras W, D 2-2 @ Juventude W.

Corinthians W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Bahia W, W 3-1 v Cruzeiro W, W 1-0 @ Cruzeiro W, L 1-3 v Internacional RS W.

The market prices BAH at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Bahia W: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bahia W

DDDDL8-7-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • LHCorinthians W0-1
  • DAPalmeiras W1-1
  • DHPalmeiras W1-1
  • DAJuventude W2-2
  • DHCorinthians W1-1

Corinthians W

DLWWW14-2-3

Scored 2.42 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 63.2%

  • WABahia W1-0
  • WHCruzeiro W3-1
  • WACruzeiro W1-0
  • LHInternacional RS W1-3
  • DABahia W1-1

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In charge since 2026

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