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Copa Paulista · Quarter-finals · Brazil

Comercial v São José EC

0-0Full time· Estadio Palma Travassos, Ribeirao Preto

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Comercial v São José EC: the model read

Comercial meet São José EC in the Copa Paulista quarter-finals at Estadio Palma Travassos, Ribeirao Preto.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 60%. Attacking output favors São José EC on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.

Comercial arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ São José EC, D 0-0 v São José EC, L 0-2 @ EC São Bernardo, W 2-0 v EC São Bernardo.

São José EC are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Comercial, D 0-0 @ Comercial, D 0-0 v São Caetano, W 3-2 @ EC São Bernardo.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Comercial

LWLDL9-3-8

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • LASão José EC0-3
  • DHSão José EC0-0
  • LAEC São Bernardo0-2
  • WHEC São Bernardo2-0
  • LANoroeste3-4

São José EC

WWDDW10-4-6

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WHComercial3-0
  • DAComercial0-0
  • DHSão Caetano0-0
  • WAEC São Bernardo3-2
  • WHSanto André2-0

Managers

Régis Angeli

Head coach

In charge since 2021 · 2 teams managed

  • Rio Preto2020–2020

Max Sandro

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 3 teams managed

  • São Caetano2021–2022
  • Gremio Osasco Audax2020–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.