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DFB Pokal · Round of 32 · Germany

VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05

· Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

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Match analysisPre-match brief

VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05: the model read

VfL Bochum meet FSV Mainz 05 in the DFB Pokal round of 32 at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum.

FSV Mainz 05 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1546. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 55%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 1.3 per match.

VfL Bochum arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Dynamo Dresden, L 0-1 v VfL Osnabrück, W 2-1 @ SpVgg Greuther Fürth, W 1-0 @ Eintracht Braunschweig.

FSV Mainz 05 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.

FSV Mainz 05 hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: VfL Bochum 1-4 FSV Mainz 05.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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VfL Bochum

LWWLW9-4-7

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 55%

  • WADynamo Dresden2-1
  • LHVfL Osnabrück0-1
  • WASpVgg Greuther Fürth2-1
  • WAEintracht Braunschweig1-0
  • LHHertha BSC0-1

FSV Mainz 05

WWWDW13-3-4

Scored 3.25 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • WAHamburger SV5-0
  • DHSC Paderborn 070-0
  • WAKrieschow9-0
  • WHBournemouth2-1
  • WHParis FC4-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

VfL BochumrecordFSV Mainz 05
2
6
2 draws

Goals

13-21

for each

Avg goals

3.4

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

VfL Bochum

Recent
LLLDLL
Wins 2Goals 13-21

Biggest win 3-1

FSV Mainz 05

Recent
WWWDWW
Wins 6Goals 21-13

Biggest win 4-1

  • VfL Bochum1-4FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 052-0VfL Bochum
  • FSV Mainz 052-0Vfl Bochum
  • Vfl Bochum2-2FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 055-2Vfl Bochum
  • Vfl Bochum1-2FSV Mainz 05
  • Vfl Bochum3-1FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-0Vfl Bochum
  • Vfl Bochum2-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 052-2Vfl Bochum

Managers

Uwe Rosler

Head coach

In charge since 2025

U. Fischer

Switzerland · 59

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Union Berlin2018–2023
  • Basel2015–2017
  • Thun2013–2015
  • Zürich2010–2012

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.